Barack Obama’s Fiscal Policy

Today will be a short lesson in fiscal policy, followed by what Barack Obama will do as President in the realm of taxes and spending.  I won’t use a whole lot of big words, if any.  In fact, I hope you are struck by the simplicity of the themes and the ideas that are discussed.  This stuff is really not all that hard.  Politicians (on both sides of the political aisle) want you to think that you can’t understand what is going on, so you have to elect them in order to represent you and be your voice since you are too dumb to understand it.  This isn’t all politicians, just some, and notable for sure.

What is fiscal policy? Fiscal means money, policy means law… money law, or laws about money.  Wow… we’re really blowing some minds here, aren’t we?  What it boils down to is this.  The Federal government collects money and spends money.  Where do they collect this money?  Ultimately from you and me.  Every single tax that was ever devised is levied against the citizen.  Even taxes not levied against the citizen (corporate income tax) is levied against the citizen. More on this later…

The federal government collects the majority of its taxes via the 16th Amendment to the US Constitution, the amendment that created the Federal Income Tax. There is minor discussion that the 16th Amendment was never truly ratified because a state or two was not constitutionally legitimate, but that is another issue altogether, and probably not worth the trouble.  According to one source, 44% of the federal dollars received at the US Treasury are from individual income taxes, 37% are from Social Security/Retirement taxes, 12% are from corporate income taxes, 3% are from sales/excise or use taxes, and 4% are from “other sources” ( My thanks to the National Priorities Project). In a real sense, 81% of tax revenue collected is from income, since the Social Security/Retirement portion of the numbers above are also a tax on income, but at a different rate and by a different name.  The 12% corporate income tax is also a tax on you, Joe Q. Public, because that tax is added the price of goods or services that you purchase from Lowe’s, Coca Cola, Kroger, We Defend U Law firm, etc… they aren’t going to just pay that out of their profits because they are nice.  They add that into the price of the ladder or the bottle of Coke or the grapefruit or the $200/hour fee that the sleazy lawyer on late-night cable tv charges you when you get a DUI.

How your government spent that money that they forcefully took out of your paycheck is a different issue altogether. Depending on the year and the person you talk to, you’ll get widely varying answers.  Almost always, health spending (about 33%) and defense spending (25%) are right at the top. Next would be Social (IN)Security (21%).  Next is non-defense discretionary spending, running about 18%. Next is interest on our national debt, which totals about 8-9 trillion dollars (8%).  If you do the math, you’ll find that’s more than 100%, which obviously is impossible… thus the problem in Washington.  Income is not equaling or exceeding spending.

Here’s where you come in… what happens when you get ot the end of the month and your bank account is down near zero, but you need to fill the gas tank?  You either run out of gas because you didn’t buy it, you take it from savings, or you borrow it from Chase or Bank of America or Citi.  Well, interestingly enough, that’s what the United States has to do as well.  I cannot remember the last time we brought in more money than we actually spent.  That is sad and insane.

So our buddy Barack Obama is now the presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee, and presumably, he has a plan to take in and to spend.  What is it? I’m glad you asked.  (All of this you can find on his website, by the way.  I encourage you to visit and learn about it yourself.)  His first plan is to reinstitute PAYGO, or Pay-as-you-go.  This is actually a great idea. Second, he will reverse the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy.  Well, another way to say it which is equally as valid is to increase the tax rate for the wealthy.  What does he define as wealthy?  Generally, those making over $150,000, although he might say $250,000 sometimes… you never know with him.  Now keep in mind the 80/20 rule.  Generally speaking in any society, 80% of something comes from 20% percent of the group and the other 20% of something comes from the remaining 80% of the group.  That means that the “wealthy already pay out upwards of 80-90% of the tax revenue now.  If we raise taxes on the wealthy, they will be paying closer to 90-95% of the tax burden because Obama’s other goal is to lower taxes for the “poor” and “middle class.”  Just in case you were wondering, one of Karl Marx’s chief ideas in communism was a progressive income tax. The other thing that it interesting to note is that, generally, speaking, those who pay the most in taxes “use” the least amount of government resources and programs.  Those who pay the least amount in taxes (or… gasp… get paid to not pay taxes) “use” the most amount of government resources and programs.  Any economist with a brain that works properly will tell you that the way to increase revenues is to lower taxes.  Lower taxes is the key, and despite Obama’s willingness (and flat out action) to lower taxes for the poor and the middle class, that will not have nearly the effect that he says it will (remember the 80/20 rule).  He would have to cut taxes so deeply in these demographics that the tax on the “wealthy” would be ridiculous.  What happens then?  The “wealthy” then invest less in stocks and bonds, mutual funds and ETF’s.  Those investments are parts of the companies that are invested in.   Those companies provide jobs, goods, and services for the “wealthy” and the “non-wealhty,” but because of the decreased cash they receive from investors, they face the same problem… too much outgo and too little income.  Thus they cannot afford to keep the workforce the same as it was.  Layoffs happen, and then Obama calls for even lower taxes or tax “credits” (read this as payments) to the “poor” and the “middle class.”

So where am I going with all of this?  This post is unbelievably long, I know, but hang in there… here is the clincher.  The sub-title of this whole blog is “the nexus of Christ and Culture.”  I am going to attempt to make that connection today.  The Bible is full of commands to take care of the widow and the orphan (James 1:27; Exodus 22:22; Deut. 10:18; Deut 14:29; Ps 68:5; Isaiah 1:17; Zech 7:10).  We are to care for those who are poor, sick, without clothing, etc.  We are to seek justice to ensure that those who are poor, sick, homeless, etc. are not mistreated.  But that is a religious/Christian/moral compulsion.  That is not a legal compulsion.  Now, am I advocating the total dismantling of all social welfare programs that the federal, state, and local governments have set up?  Absolutely not.  I am willing to part with a small sum of my money by force to ensure there is a safety net for those who are truly destitute.  Without a program like Medicaid/Medicare, some people who are born with birth defects or who have massive health problems like traumatic brain injuries, strokes, etc., would be paralyzed by medical debt for life, since they need tons of care initially and continual care after that.  The problem is that the safety net has become a pillow-top mattress.  There is no incentive for people to pull themselves up by their bootstraps and make a better life for themselves because they know that every month, they’ll collect a check of money that they may or may not have worked for.

To be sure, I am advocating PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY.  You are responsible for you.  I am responsible for me.  Only insofar as we arrange ourselves in groups are we responsible for each other.  I am responsible for my wife and me.  She is responsible for me and her.  That’s the way MARRIAGE works, but only because we have entered into covenant to take care of each other “in sickness and in health, in poverty or in wealth, until God by death shall separate us or until Christ’s return” “But Michael,” one says, “what about Cain saying to God am I my brother’s keeper? Isn’t that a Biblical madate for all of the stuff that you decry?” Yes, it is a BIBLICAL MANDATE, designed for BIBLICAL FOLLOWERS… the CHURCH!!!!! Not the government.  I don’t want the government sticking their lousy, secular nose in the affairs of individuals trying to help people.  I want the government to protect my homeland and my liberty so that I can “work with my hands” (Genesis 3:17-19), be a productive member of society, and in the words of Charles Wesley, “Make all I can, save all I can, and give all I can.”   The CHURCH has the responsibility to demonstrate the love of God by taking care of the sick and the poor, the widow and the orphan, the homeless and the hungry.

Think about Social (IN)Security.  Do you know that by 2041, Social (IN)Security will be bankrupt?  That means that if you are living in that year, you will either 1) not receive benefits that you paid for because the government will simply not pay them out (yeah right) or  2) you will receive benefits that amount to FAR less than you actually paid for.  If you are thirty or younger, just don’t even figure Social (IN)Security into your retirement picture.  It ain’t gonna be there.  If you get anything, it is a bonus.  That is why I like the idea of letting younger workers opt out of this absolutely horrible “retirement program.”  In fact, I have a deal.  United States, you can have every cent that I have paid into this system ever since I started working.  Take it all… everything.  But from this day forward, let me handle my own retirement.  Don’t take a penny from my paycheck for Social (IN)Security.  I’ll take that same amount of money that you forcefully take from me every two weeks and invest it myself and come out so far ahead of what I would get under “the system” that it wouldn’t even be close.  In fact, I’d bet that if I were to take out less than the percentage that I pay in now, I’d still come out ahead.

There are some inherent issues in this plan that need addressing.  First, what happens to those people who don’t opt out? Well, have fun with Social Security, that’s all I have to say.  Second, the revenues to pay the benefits for those who do not opt out will not be there because so many people will want to opt out. What happens to those benefits?  They probably still need to be paid, so we will have to collect that money elsewhere.  It might even be (and I can’t even believe that I am saying this), we would have to borrow and pay it back over time. But we have to do something to change our “family tree,” as it were.  Younger people have to prove to people who bought into Social(IN)Security that it won’t work as a long-term game plan.  We have to say, “Here’s an idea that we are comfortable with.  We’ll take care of you, but it’s not going to work for us, so let us change the way we do things.  If we keep doing what we’re doing, we’re going to keep having what we’re having.

Well, this subject will probably be revisited soon, because there are so many more things to say about taxes and spending.  I just didn’t get to address all of them today.  Soon (not tomorrow, but soon), I’ll address healthcare… oh yeah, it’ll be juicy.

~ by michaelldouglas on June 5, 2008.

10 Responses to “Barack Obama’s Fiscal Policy”

  1. Thanks for the post…I learned a lot. Good to see you!

  2. What an enlightening article. NOT. Are you actually trying to imply that Obama is a communist? Just because he indeed supports graduated income taxes (uh, like pretty much everyone in the country because it’s fair and makes sense) doesn’t mean he’s a communist. Taxes on the middle class and lower class need to be lessened because in case you haven’t noticed, the middle class is getting squeezed, and the lower class is growing. The richest 1% of Americans have a larger and larger portion of the money in this country. That’s not good for democracy. I guess if you support this notion, you’re an self-righteous aristocrat. Trickle-down theory DOES NOT WORK, because rich people are selfish.

    I think your views are skewed and ignorant. I don’t think you know much about what you’re trying to talk about, so thanks for the laugh.

  3. Thanks for your comments… Obviously, I’m probably not going to change your mind and you’re probably not going to change mine, but that is what open debate is for. I’m not implying that Obama is a Communist. I am declaring that he has Communistic and Socialistic tendencies, chief among them is the idea that the rich should pay more in taxes. Did you know that if taxes on the rich were to be reduced (percentage-wise), they would still be paying more than the “poor”or the “middle class?” Interesting… Yes, the middle class is getting squeezed. The middle class and lower class always gets squeezed in recessions, slow-downs etc. If they weren’t getting squeezed, they probably wouldn’t be in that socio-economic class… they’d be those evil rich people that everybody bemoans. Do you know why the top 1% of Americans (in terms of wealth) keep growing it? Because they make smart financial decisions. Because they work their tails off. And… gasp… because their families did the same and passed down wealth, although the other interesting point to note is that close to nine out of ten millionaires today are first-generation rich. That means that daddy didn’t give them a trust fund or didn’t pass down his inherited wealth. They worked for it.

    What next… we don’t have a democracy. We have a representative republic. Our Founding Fathers were scared of what would happen in “the people” had too direct of a voice in elections, so they made it a representative republic. I’m far from an aristocrat (I don’t make near the money you think I do), and as for being self-righteous, you obviously didn’t read the rest of my blog. I am what I am by God’s grace, unmerited favor that I don’t deserve. Everything I have is a gift from Him. Everything that I don’t have is a gift from Him. That pretty much takes care of the self-righteous part.

    You say that trickle down economics doesn’t work… I disagree, but let me say this. When was the last time that you really benefitted from a government “program”? When was the last time that you really benefitted from a government handout? Trickle-down economics doesn’t work? How’s that handout business going? That’s really changing lives isn’t it? The rich are selfish? Tell Bill Gates that he’s selfish. Tell Warren Buffett he’s selfish. Tell Teresa Heinz Kerry that she’s selfish. Tell Oprah that she’s selfish. On the flip side, how selfish, how presumptuous, how arrogant do you think it is that politicians think they know how to spend someone else’s hard-earned money? It is, by definition, selfish (thinking of one’s self first) to say that someone else’s money is actually mine.

    I’m glad you think differently. That’s what it’s all about… As to if I know what I’m talking about, time will tell. You’re welcome for the laugh and the opposing viewpoint. Have a wonderful day!

  4. We are facing the perfect storm in that whoever the next president is, tax rates will undoubtedly go up. Tax code enacted in 2001 and 2003 expires in 2010 and will capture all kinds of your income dead or alive, the largest increase since WWII. The Marginal tax rate will increase across the board from 13% by highest tax brackets to 50% by the lowest…go figure. Top tax rate on dividends will nearly triple to 39.6% from 15% most likely lowering stock performance. Capital gains will rise from 15% to 20% + state. Alternative minimum tax will bleed the middleclass yet more and capture 25 million new victims…akin to a plague. When you think about traditional tax deferred vehicles it does not make sense to defer taxes to what inevitably will be a higher tax bracket in the future at ordinary income. The answer may lie in life insurance structured for income and a self-directed solo-401(k)s since there are not income limits to ROTH on the solo-401(k). This is the dynamic duo of tax-free retirement income.

  5. earn money…

    Very well said. Thanks for your regular updates….

  6. U wrote:
    “The 12% corporate income tax is also a tax on you, Joe Q. Public, because that tax is added the price of goods or services that you purchase from Lowe’s, Coca Cola, Kroger, We Defend U Law firm, etc… they aren’t going to just pay that out of their profits because they are nice. They add that into the price of the ladder or the bottle of Coke or the grapefruit or the $200/hour fee that the sleazy lawyer on late-night cable tv charges you when you get a DUI.”

    So what do u suggest we do about the 2/3 Corporations that are not paying federal income taxes, and the 68% of foreign companies doing business in the US and avoiding corporate taxes?

    If we are still paying extra on every purchase to help pay their income tax and they aren’t anyway, it has to be stopped!

  7. Is the fact that corporations pay taxes a bad thing? I don’t think so. In fact, Ithink it is a good thing. Do you know why two-thirds of corporations don’t pay taxes? Mostly because they are small businesses who have – gasp – owners, who instead of paying taxes corporately on income that their business makes pay out the money to themselves and pay (usually) a much lower tax rate. Perfectly legal, perfectly moral, perfectly right.

    By wanting to tax the 68% of foreign companies that do business here and “don’t pay corporate taxes (I don’t even know if that is right or not, but anyway…), why do you want to do that again? Is higher taxes the answer? Nope.

    As to paying extra to help pay their corporate income tax so they don’t have to, see the above argument about paying out money to themselves to pay lower taxes. Who wants to pay higer taxes anyway? If you don’t want to, why should we?

    Also, if we instituted the Fair Tax, none of this would be an issue. There would be a TRANSPARENT, no-nonsense tax rate so you and I would know when our elected officials raised taxes. We would encourage businesses who left the US in search of lower taxes to come back and provide jobs to our citizens. We would be able to collect billions in revenue from tourism, since those goods purchased at the retail level ( and not costing those tourists a penny more)would have the Fair Tax included in the price. We would tax “income” from people who don’t report “income,” like drug-dealers, prostitutes, and your average liars and cheaters. Most of all, we would immediately eliminate the sway that lobbyists hold over Washington, D.C., because there would be no reason to lobby for a tax break when there is no tax to begin with. Look it up at http://www.fairtax.org. Thank you for visiting and commenting.

  8. Thank u for yr reply, I will now read up on the Fair Tax. Also, I did appreciate your lesson on fiscal policy.

  9. The Fair Tax would encourage savings which is good, but wouldn’t it also decrease the consumption of products becos people would be trying to pay less in taxes? If this happened, wouldn’t it affect our GDP, negatively?

    I saw one blogger, write that the Fair Tax would adversely affect the incentive to make donations to charitable organizations. Forcing them to get out of the charity business or forcing them to rely more on government assistance.

    What is yr opinion of these two issues?

  10. Kiwiscanfly- I’m glad that you visited the fiscal policy lesson and learned something. I try to learn something everyday.

    Those are two excellent questions about the Fair Tax, and fairly common. I’m going to do the best I can do to answer them. I have no vested interest in Neal Boortz and Congressman John Linder’s book, The Fair Tax, but pick up a copy and check my answers.

    1. The Fair Tax does not necessarily encourage or discourage savings. In the sense that if you spend less and save more, you do pay less taxes, you are right, we will consume less. However. the economists who researched the Fair Tax estimate that once people get the idea under there belt, spending will at least stay the same, but people will be incentivized to save. And remember, since the Fair Tax is revenue neutral, the only difference between this and the current tax system is the METHOD the taxes are collected. The amount will stay the same. Additionally, the price of goods would stay the same. This needs more explannation than this space will allow, but the Fair Tax will be a part of the current price because of the embedded taxes that cause the price of goods to be high. A $100 widget now will still be $100 . $23 will go to the government as the Fair Tax and $77 will be the price of the widget.
    This is better answered on the website.

    2. I don’t quite understand the impact that the Fair Tax would have on charitable contributions. I can tell you this. If you make $48,000 a year you will see $4,000 on your paystub at the end of the month. So instead of $48,000 a year minus the 15% you would pay in taxes ($7200), you would have all of that money in your bank account. So instead of trying to reduce your “taxable income,” you get all of it to do with it what you will, so in theory, you will have more to give away than you had before. Now here is an interesting thought. Remember, the deduction that you get for being generous and giving money away to charity is a relatively new thing. So the obvious questions is, “Were people not generous before the tax deduction came about?” Of course they were generous… it is just a matter of changing lots of minds by showing facts and figures and making people better educated on the issue.

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